(12-16-10) Outlook for Next Week

| Thursday, December 16, 2010
The freezing rain event is now over for the Dubois County area. All in all we had about a quarter of an inch of ice accumulate on the roadways here. Conditions were slick and the schools closed for good reason. Now we turn our attention to next storm heading our way. It does look like we'll have a break from the winter weather for a few days. The weekend looks to be nice, just really cold.

Monday and Tuesday will usher in another round of wintry weather into our area. At this time, the models are making it out to be an all snow event. I see no indication that we'll be getting another freezing rain/sleet system into our area like this one last night was. The big difference will be the direction this system is coming from. This next system looks to have its center to our north and it'll probably be a wrap-around snow type of deal similar to the last snow we had on Dec 12th. The main difference here is that this system looks to have quite a bit more moisture to work with.

It's way to early to start talking about definite amounts for what to expect. If the current models verified, we'd easily get five inches of snow out of this next system, but I think it's way too early to start believing these models. For starters, this system has not even formed yet. It's expected to form over Idaho on Sunday afternoon. The jet stream will then give it ample fuel and it'll be in our area by Monday night/Tuesday morning. We'll really need to wait to see if we see a trend with the future model runs and it's also possible this system could change storm tracks dramatically this far out. This is still five days out. The higher resolution models won't even begin picking this system up for a couple of days. Right now we're relying solely on a long-range model for this data. A lot can change over the next couple of days. I'll keep an eye on this system and blog more about it as time gets closer.

What about Christmas? Right now it looks to be very cold with temperatures only in the mid to upper 20s. It doesn't appear that we'll see any accumulating snow unless something changes. Some flurries are showing up on the models, but nothing that will stick. So travel will be OK.

Here's your updated 7 Day Forecast.




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